NY Times Poll Shows Trump Leading Biden in Key Swing States

In a recent poll conducted by the New York Times, former President Donald Trump is shown to lead President Joe Biden in five out of six crucial swing states, raising speculation about the 2024 election. The poll results, presented without editorial commentary, reveal the following data:

  1. Nevada: Trump leads with an 11-point advantage, with 52 percent support compared to Biden’s 41 percent.
  2. Arizona: Trump holds a 5-point lead, with 49 percent support, while Biden has 44 percent.
  3. Pennsylvania: Trump is ahead by 4 points, securing 48 percent of the vote against Biden’s 44 percent.
  4. Georgia: Trump leads by 6 points, with 49 percent support, while Biden has 43 percent.
  5. Michigan: Trump is ahead by 5 points, with 48 percent support, while Biden holds 43 percent.
  6. Wisconsin: Biden is narrowly ahead by 2 points, with 47 percent support, while Trump has 45 percent.

The report underscores that these states are critical swing states and that Biden purportedly won all of them in the 2020 presidential election. The surprising lead that Trump currently enjoys is attributed to concerns surrounding issues like immigration and Biden’s overall approval rating.

Age and mental sharpness are also factors in the poll, as a significant portion of respondents believes that Biden, at 80 years old, is too old for the presidency and lacks the “mental sharpness” required for the role. Trump, aged 77, faces fewer concerns about his age and mental acuity among supporters.

The poll also highlights Trump’s advantage over Biden on key policy areas, including the economy, immigration, national security, and handling the Israeli conflict. Men favor Trump on national security by a significant margin, while women give Biden a slight edge in this category.

The article mentions that perceptions of Trump’s personality and temperament appear to have softened over time, with only 46 percent of voters believing that Biden has the appropriate temperament to be president, slightly higher than the 43 percent who believe the same of Trump.

The article notes that the New York Times/Siena pollster did not have Trump winning any of these states in 2020, making the current results noteworthy. Pollster Nate Cohn’s response to the data is also included in the report, indicating that there is still a potential path for Democrats to win the 2024 election but acknowledging the significant challenge they face.



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